Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2004 - 2005 - 2006




These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.



RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
Megan Jackson 12 Northridge 18:45 #2  
Rachel Hissong 9 DeKalb 19:13 #21  
Theresa Schamberger 12 East Noble 19:23 #29  
Hannah Miller 10 Northridge 19:44 #60  
Jessie Lafree 11 Northridge 19:48 #65  
Megan Hammel 9 Northridge 19:49 #68  
Katy Ritchie 10 Northridge 19:54 #79  
Aimee Gingerich 11 Northridge 19:58 #87  
Vanessa Lantzer 12 Northridge 19:59 #88  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
Northridge Elkhart Central 229 #5  
DeKalb West Noble 389 #16  

Other unranked teams:
Elkhart Memorial Elkhart Central 631
East Noble West Noble 641
Goshen Elkhart Central 738



Regional Simulation




Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Northridge 100.0% 1.0 24 15 46 99.9 0.1
DeKalb 100.0% 2.0 56 28 83 0.1 99.8 0.1 0.0
East Noble 100.0% 3.5 92 62 118 0.0 53.4 41.8 4.9
Elkhart Memorial 100.0% 3.6 94 62 117 0.1 44.9 47.5 7.6
Goshen 100.0% 4.9 108 84 132 1.6 10.8 87.6


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Megan Jackson Northridge 18:45 100.0% 1.0 88.7 9.5 1.8 0.0
Rachel Hissong DeKalb 19:13 100.0% 1.7 8.5 56.3 25.9 4.6 2.2 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0
Theresa Schamberger East Noble 19:23 100.0% 2.4 2.9 27.9 44.8 9.8 5.4 3.5 2.2 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
Hannah Miller Northridge 19:44 100.0% 4.6 2.9 10.4 25.9 19.8 14.6 9.9 7.0 4.7 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jessie Lafree Northridge 19:48 100.0% 5.4 1.4 6.1 17.1 18.5 16.8 13.9 10.4 7.0 3.9 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1
Megan Hammel Northridge 19:49 100.0% 5.7 1.2 5.5 15.4 17.3 16.1 14.5 11.3 8.5 4.8 2.8 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Katy Ritchie Northridge 19:54 100.0% 6.9 0.4 2.3 8.2 11.1 14.3 15.4 14.6 13.4 8.8 5.6 3.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Aimee Gingerich Northridge 19:58 100.0% 7.9 0.2 1.1 4.4 7.6 9.6 13.4 16.0 16.4 11.6 8.4 5.5 3.3 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Vanessa Lantzer Northridge 19:59 100.0% 8.1 0.2 1.0 4.0 6.0 9.2 12.8 15.8 17.1 11.8 9.7 6.3 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0